Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1085.284059 1222.716588 1372.501357 1548.133111 1748.762801 1971.183981 2236.974975
2026-02-01 880.106603 1068.452860 1291.157075 1575.073650 1929.055541 2357.975939 2920.295778
2026-02-08 760.415430 971.219099 1234.764303 1590.802888 2062.824039 2672.110206 3526.160189
2026-02-15 677.216107 900.932861 1193.482529 1607.819665 2185.590132 2971.598437 4137.072099
2026-02-22 618.605670 852.309083 1170.011904 1638.858547 2322.269493 3296.229083 4814.804146
2026-03-01 550.181815 780.862764 1104.970128 1600.396049 2350.667207 3463.942886 5277.819577
2026-03-08 490.092354 714.053222 1038.050266 1549.092609 2349.995467 3582.508231 5672.715531
2026-03-15 439.488426 655.683780 976.845704 1498.118600 2341.133629 3682.804254 6044.381976
2026-03-22 419.407183 640.977828 979.132817 1544.310388 2488.393284 4044.156126 6890.947321
2026-03-29 395.831241 618.368415 966.479405 1564.167706 2592.833239 4343.674267 7665.798836
2026-04-05 372.725768 594.261630 948.856218 1573.199853 2678.347683 4617.722306 8426.805582
2026-04-12 351.703538 571.616783 931.331688 1580.002365 2759.363014 4890.439263 9217.638128
2026-04-19 337.674396 559.890829 931.687704 1619.134836 2904.707613 5300.749127 10341.352868
2026-04-26 322.835783 545.580536 926.403500 1647.658240 3033.600472 5695.403031 11491.939755
2026-05-03 307.452928 528.954453 915.428301 1664.182781 3140.537026 6058.285750 12626.325931
2026-05-10 293.635479 513.925077 905.874418 1682.064179 3251.267275 6440.227308 13855.937464
2026-05-17 283.014515 503.780329 904.233930 1714.682445 3394.440532 6904.626406 15338.647314
2026-05-24 263.624691 475.957584 867.406330 1674.263273 3382.151853 7036.679931 16066.185010
2026-05-31 244.248457 446.774821 825.779075 1620.357321 3335.523095 7087.742542 16604.863603
2026-06-07 226.543895 419.576494 786.010232 1566.806126 3284.194746 7122.196662 17106.946024
2026-06-14 221.881008 417.265670 794.738238 1615.332947 3462.768488 7702.273535 19086.839747
2026-06-21 214.430241 408.916284 790.739172 1636.196254 3580.865731 8154.277522 20803.162868
2026-06-28 206.279980 398.590157 781.926759 1645.686405 3673.469649 8555.532280 22446.589222